Emma Navarro vs Dayana Yastremska Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the recent six-month period, Yastremska has slightly better performance on second serves, winning 40.04% of points, compared to Navarro's 39.81%. Is this small difference significant for predicting match outcomes? It often is.
• When it comes to returning serves, Navarro excels, securing 49.32% of points on opponents' second serves, surpassing Yastremska's 47.9%. For first serve returns, Navarro again leads with 33.65% against Yastremska's 33.09%.
• Under pressure, Yastremska has an edge, saving 51.34% of breakpoints as opposed to Navarro's 48.04%.
• Yastremska's win rate over the last year stands at 56.6%, slightly lower than Navarro's 59.68%.
• When considering best surface performance, Yastremska thrives on clay with a 63% win rate, while Navarro has the highest success on indoor hard courts, winning 73%.
• Looking at main tour levels over the past year, Yastremska boasts a 68% win rate, compared to Navarro's 60%.
• In their only head-to-head match, Yastremska emerged victorious, winning 2 out of the 3 sets played.
• Yastremska faces tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 90.55, while Navarro's opponents have an average rank of 57.31.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Navarro has a 59% success rate, slightly better than Yastremska's 50%.
• Both players have similar breakpoint conversion rates, with Yastremska at 36.97% and Navarro at 36.9%.

Editorial Prediction (August 1, 2025, UTC):

Evaluating recent performance metrics, Yastremska demonstrates a minor advantage on second serve points percentage, but Navarro makes up for this with exceptional returning stats, particularly on second serve returns.

Under pressure situations, Yastremska shows resilience by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints compared to Navarro, suggesting a potential edge in crucial moments during the match.

Their head-to-head history slightly favors Yastremska, who has won their only previous encounter. However, Navarro's superior performance against higher-ranked players and better deciding set win rate cannot be overlooked.

Considering surface expertise, while neither player is competing on their best surface, Yastremska's clay court proficiency might offer an advantage if conditions resemble clay characteristics.

Factoring in all aspects, the match could swing either way, but Navarro's consistent return performance and slightly better match win percentage over the past year make her a slight favorite to clinch this match.